Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 166.901973 194.392384 226.561297 267.388447 318.406311 380.843114 4.642809e+02
2025-06-01 128.636737 161.897346 205.152361 266.992258 355.683663 482.585335 6.865164e+02
2025-06-08 106.504426 140.774600 188.492528 262.443520 379.457891 567.931486 9.200963e+02
2025-06-15 95.775267 131.878705 185.150405 273.773086 427.204082 704.176139 1.308717e+03
2025-06-22 82.287865 116.371360 168.627845 259.848911 428.072963 758.193927 1.571419e+03
2025-06-29 74.208920 107.637826 160.810122 258.112908 449.331438 858.764751 2.011546e+03
2025-07-06 67.881181 100.677410 154.575149 257.513279 472.133929 972.018692 2.585772e+03
2025-07-13 65.361169 99.450425 157.635409 274.530763 536.452004 1215.194052 3.854287e+03
2025-07-20 63.682660 99.339508 162.512274 296.064676 618.560250 1557.272953 6.111138e+03
2025-07-27 59.813918 94.940257 158.829573 298.933355 656.469709 1794.791953 8.448366e+03
2025-08-03 56.987437 92.055284 157.566592 306.773667 710.510094 2129.550213 1.251150e+04
2025-08-10 53.586248 87.755098 152.943035 305.971007 740.326927 2400.635107 1.736992e+04
2025-08-17 50.612161 84.275897 150.173871 310.788800 795.247209 2864.781075 2.826634e+04
2025-08-24 47.371934 80.011981 145.338563 309.881773 833.995604 3319.157493 4.578155e+04
2025-08-31 44.143244 75.433763 139.214619 304.337146 855.344299 3722.166011 7.236921e+04
2025-09-07 42.703370 74.219031 140.197266 318.107258 955.289016 4800.960254 1.824444e+05
2025-09-14 39.285391 68.703906 130.901553 301.187538 927.734384 4939.592977 2.594353e+05
2025-09-21 37.186098 65.702264 126.984121 299.081907 961.946695 5670.815255 5.893020e+05
2025-09-28 35.371108 63.127584 123.745781 298.354807 1002.966748 6593.634108 1.812169e+06
2025-10-05 34.928351 63.378800 127.194306 319.029436 1158.052115 9321.589885 1.055442e+08
2025-10-12 34.721351 64.106306 131.904730 345.305173 1366.457680 14128.231126 NaN
2025-10-19 33.395885 62.268722 129.967579 348.814876 1453.865494 17709.056119 NaN
2025-10-26 32.434450 61.155005 129.746270 358.418099 1588.977941 23880.663277 NaN